Don't go crazy


Do your research
But don't go crazy
From marchmadman Updated 03/18/24, 5:30pm
Monday is a day of rest in the religion that is college basketball. There are absolutely no games today. No NCAA Tournament games. No play-in games. No women's games. No NIT games. No CBI games. That leaves you this day to focus on selecting your bracket looking at all of the analytics about which 12v5 upset you should pick, how many teams have repeated as champions (7), has a 9 seed or worse ever made the Championship game (nope). You can go absolutely mad at studying all of the wacky analytics like the tournament history, injury reports, game venues, NET rankings, uniform colors, mascots, does the coach wear a tie. Anything you want to consider, there probably is a stat for that. And none of it matters at all. You will not be the one to pick the perfect bracket. It will never happen. You won't even come close. There is a one in 9.2 quintillion chance of guessing a perfect bracket. One quintillion is one billion billions. Written out it is 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. The number of grains of sand on Earth is estimated at 7.5 quintillion. You have a better chance of finding a specific grain of sand than you do picking a perfect bracket. But, the odds do get slightly better if you are familiar with college basketball: 1 in 120.2 billion. According to the NCAA, an Ohio man correctly predicted the entire 2019 men's NCAA tournament into the Sweet 16, which set the record for the longest verified March Madness bracket win streak at 49 games (the NCAA began tracking brackets from major online platforms, including their Men and Women's Bracket Challenge Game, ESPN, CBS and Yahoo, since 2016). In the 25 years of this Bracket Pool, nobody has ever been perfect after the First Round. The closest was in 2017 when Emack picked 30 out of 32 First Round games correctly, and he ended up only finishing fifth that year. If you make it to the Second Round and still are perfect, you are probably more lucky than good. And see me about picking my next lottery numbers.

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